NFL Pick of the Week: Underdog New York Jets

December 15th, 2011 by Smitty

The best bet on the board this wee is the New York Jets getting three points at the Philadelphia Eagles. That’s a 5.38-point edge for the Jets against an Eagles team playing with a banged-up Michael Vick.

Take the points and cash a ticket.

Jay Cutler, Matt Schaub, Matt Leinert injuries skew the odds

December 1st, 2011 by Smitty

There are a couple of games that the automated WhatToWager.com NFL betting system flagged as values that you should watch out for due it quarterback injuries.

Jay Cutler is out for the Chicago Bears at home against the Kansas City Chiefs. The Bears are 7-point favorites and a 6.9-point value, according the the WhatToWager system. But without Cutler, who knows? Of course, the Chiefs are also missing their No. 1 quarterback, Matt Cassel.

The Houston Texans are in even worse shape at quarterback. First, they lost Matt Schaub for the season. Then, last week, Matt Leinart couldn’t even make it through one game before sustaining what is suspected to be a season-ending shoulder injury. All in all, a tough season for NFL quarterbacks named Matt. The Texans are getting three points at home against the Atlanta Falcons, which would have been an 8.81-point edge if it weren’t for the QB injuries.

49ers, Lions are NFL picks of the week

December 1st, 2011 by Smitty

The top bets for Week 13 in the NFL are a couple of teams that are enjoying big turnarounds. The San Francisco 49ers are 13-point favorites at Candlestick Park against the St. Louis Rams, but the WhatToWager.com NFL betting system still thinks that’s a bargain. Jim Harbaugh’s Niners are a 6.44-point edge, according to WhatToWager, meaning they should be favored by more than 19 points against Steven Jackson, Sam Bradford and the Rams.

The Detroit Lions are getting nine points on the road against Drew Brees and the New Orleans Saints. WhatToWager.com calculates that the Lions should only be getting 2.5 points, making them a 6.49-point edge. Beware, though, because Detroit will be without Ndamukong Suh, who was suspended two games after a personal foul in the Thanksgiving Day loss to the Green Bay Packers.

Wanna Bet? You can on our new Facebook app

November 30th, 2010 by Smitty

WhatToWager.com is happy to announce the release of a new Facebook app that lets you bet with your friends.

At Wanna Bet?, you can bet your friends on NFL, college football and college basketball games. You pick the game. You set the line. And, best of all, there is no vig to pay.

You start with an account balance of 5,000 Betting Bucks, the virtual money that passes for currency in our sports book.

Wanna Bet? is FREE to play.

New York Jets make it a lucky 7

October 11th, 2010 by Smitty

OK, so I’m not going to win my San Francisco 49ers over 8.5 wins bet — and I paid a premium in Las Vegas to get that number. Instead, we’ll just have to get it back on a week-to-week basis.

The WhatToWager.com NFL betting system went 7-0 in Week 5, rebounding from a couple of slow weeks. The big week was capped by the New York Jets covering 5 points against the Minnesota Vikings on Monday Night Football. Thank you Dwight Lowery for the Pick Six that covered the number.

Speaking of Lowery, his alma mater, San Jose State, was one of four winners (out of five games) that the WhatToWager.com college football betting system picked over the weekend. Of course, the betting system properly picked the Spartans NOT to cover getting 16.5 points against Nevada.

Kansas City Chiefs a strong home underdog

September 23rd, 2010 by Smitty

WhatToWager.com tries to continue its strong start to picking college football and NFL winners against the spread this weekend with five more games recommended by the betting system.

One home underdog in the NFL stands out. The Kansas City Chiefs getting three points at the new Arrowhead Stadium turns up as the best value on the NFL Week 3 schedule. The Chiefs are nearly a 12-point value against the San Francisco 49ers according the the WhatToWager.com betting formula.

The betting system also likes the Houston Texans as 2.5-point favorites at home against the Dallas Cowboys (8.15-point edge) and the Buffalo Bills as 14.5-point underdogs at the New England Patriots. Beware, however, of the quarterback change in Buffalo this week. Ryan Fitzpatrick has been promoted by coach Chan Gailey to start over Trent Edwards.

In college football, the betting system likes Fresno State as a 2-point underdog at Mississippi (12.11-point edge), and New Mexico getting 10.5 points at UNLV (10.3-point value).

College football betting system winning 83 percent so far

September 23rd, 2010 by Smitty

Who said the early-season football games are unpredictable?

The WhatToWager college football betting system is off to a screaming start to the season, correctly calling 10 of the 12 games it has recommended so far this season.  We’ve traditionally been a little shy about playing the early games, thinking that the power ratings need two or three weeks to mature. We might need to rethink that.

WhatToWager recommends college football games where there is at least a 10-point edge. Those games have covered 62 percent of the time in the last five seasons.

Our NFL betting system result haven’t been as good as college, but they are still good. The NFL system has covered on seven of the 12 games it recommended for wagering.

College Football and NFL Betting Begins

September 8th, 2010 by Smitty

College football kicked off last week and WhatToWager.com jumped out to a quick start in its picks.

WhatToWager.com’s betting system recommended Florida Atlantic getting 14 points at UAB and East Carolina as a 7-point underdog at home against Tulsa. Both picks were winners.

This week, WhatToWager.com sees 10 college football games with betting value, including Florida Atlantic and East Carolina again.

Florida Atlantic is getting 28 points at Michigan State, about a 14-point edge. East Carolina is a home dog again, this time getting 12.5 points against Memphis. That represents an 11-point edge.

This is also Week 1 in the NFL, and WhatToWager.com recommends eight games for betting. The biggest value on the NFL schedule is the Philadelphia Eagles as 3-point home underdogs against the Green Bay Packers. The Eagles are one of five home dogs in Week 1. The others are the Buffalo Bills, Pittsburgh Steelers (minus Ben Roethlisberger), Houston Texans and Seattle Seahawks.

NFL Week 1 point spreads out already

May 26th, 2010 by Smitty

Well, WhatToWager.com’s NFL betting system won’t have any recommendations for a few months, but according to Covers.com it’s time to start thinking about Week 1 action in the NFL.

The Buffalo Bills, Houston Texans, St. Louis Rams, Washington Redskins and Kansas City Chiefs are each listed as home underdogs.

NFL regular season betting begins September 9.

Sports Betting For Investors

April 14th, 2010 by Smitty

Now this is what we’re talking about.

This new sports betting hedge fund aims to “analyze and trade the betting markets, taking the emotion out of the betting game and putting quantitative analysis in its place.”

Sounds a lot like the idea behind WhatToWager.com — look at historical data and trends and make statistically sound bets based on that analysis.

“We have unique software we’ve written over five years that ensures we purely trade on statistics and probabilities,” said Tony Woodhams, managing director of Centaur. “The process is very clinical, which is our edge.”

Bravo.